A guest speaker at the forum, Professor Alberto Posso from RMIT’s Centre for International Development in Australia elaborated that trade disruption because of COVID-19 is affecting both final and intermediate goods.
“Not all imports are final goods. In fact, about 70% of imports globally are intermediate goods used in manufacturing. This means that global trade disruptions can make domestic production harder and more expensive,” he said.
Professor Posso presented a scenario for the new normal where a vaccine has become widely available and firms across the world are looking to re-establish pre-crisis patterns to an extent.
“Firms will be scared about new viruses or other factors that can disrupt supply chains, so they will try to diversify their supply chains.
“As firms increase their supply sources, more economies will be able to find new export markets and growth opportunities, aiding in their recovery. Vietnam won’t be an exception,” Professor Posso said.
New opportunities with EVFTA and innovation
In keeping with the argument for supply chain diversification, RMIT experts hailed the EU – Vietnam Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA) as a source of new opportunities for Vietnamese firms in European markets and vice versa.
According to Dr John Walsh, RMIT International Business Senior Program Manager, “Vietnamese companies can potentially increase their exports to the EU and in particular, team up with European investors, thereby moving up the global value chains.”
“Local firms should expect a long and winding road ahead. They must be ready for opportunities to convert commodities into branded value-added products, and they might start approaching smaller EU markets first before penetrating big ones like Germany and France,” he added.