The future is bright for electric vehicles despite challenges

The future is bright for electric vehicles despite challenges

With VinFast officially becoming the number one best-selling car brand in the Vietnamese market in the first 10 months of 2024, what can be said about the potential of the domestic electric vehicle (EV) market?

September 2024 marked the first time VinFast, an electric automaker, achieved the highest monthly sales in the Vietnamese car market. This success was repeated in the following month, and in the first 10 months of the year, VinFast reportedly delivered more than 51,000 EVs, surpassing Toyota and Hyundai in sales.

According to Dr Nguyen Son, a lecturer in Logistics and Supply Chain Management at RMIT University Vietnam, the rise of the "Made in Vietnam" EV company to the number one position reflects a significant change in the perception of Vietnamese consumers about EVs in general.

Dr Son believes that many factors contribute to this change in thinking. Today's consumers, especially young people with medium and high incomes, have begun to consider environmental protection as one of the important motivations when deciding to buy a car. This is in line with the global trend towards sustainable transportation and is also the result of communication and education about environmental protection.

Policies such as registration fee exemption and reduced import taxes have also made EVs more attractive to consumers. As for domestic car manufacturer VinFast, their after-sales service is highly competitive, including a free charging program at V-GREEN charging stations until 1 July 2025.

The operational costs of EVs are generally quite competitive when compared to conventional vehicles, especially in the context of rising fuel prices. The introduction of a variety of EV models in different segments from different manufacturers has expanded the choice for consumers.

Dr Son commented: “The transition to EVs will continue, even at a rapid pace, but it will take time for important factors such as durability, safety, cost, and charging points to be further available, optimised, and proven before EVs can attract more demanding consumers in more localities.”

Vinfast electric car Electric vehicles have become more popular in Vietnam. (Photo: aapsky - stock.adobe.com)

Potential to attract investment

According to Dr Son, VinFast's success in the EV market is likely to have a significant positive impact on both domestic and foreign investors, proving Vietnam's growing EV industry as a great opportunity for larger investment funds to participate in.

“Major international car manufacturers and technology companies can seek cooperation opportunities or set up their own operations in Vietnam to capture the growing market,” the RMIT expert said.

Dr Son predicts that the EV market in Vietnam could reach a size of 5-7 billion US dollars in the next five years. Demand for EV batteries will increase, resulting in investment opportunities in battery production and recycling facilities. There will also be increasing demand for specialised components, creating opportunities for domestic and foreign suppliers.

He believes that the success of EVs in Vietnam could spur increased investment in research and development, potentially attracting venture capital funds focused on related areas, such as autonomous driving technology, smart vehicle systems, and advanced battery technology. Further, there will be opportunities to invest in the EV ecosystem, such as battery support, maintenance and exchange, and fleet management of semi-autonomous and then fully autonomous EVs.

Existing challenges

However, according to Dr Truong Quang Dung, a lecturer in Logistics and Supply Chain Management at RMIT University Vietnam, there are still big challenges when it comes to charging station infrastructure and grid capacity.

Currently, VinFast is the only automaker providing charging stations. With a plan to install 150,000 charging stations, the company will average 15 charging stations per 10,000 people, higher than the rates in the US and China. However, concerns remain about infrastructure distribution, with consumers saying charging stations are not widespread enough.

A survey in Ho Chi Minh City in December 2023 found that 86.83% of respondents were reluctant to switch to EVs, mainly due to concerns about the lack of charging stations. Although VinFast stations have covered highways and inter-provincial connections, there are still gaps in urban and rural residential areas. VinFast's refusal to share charging stations with other automakers in the next 10 years could limit infrastructure expansion.

“Another big challenge is Vietnam’s power grid, which may struggle to meet increased energy demand as the number of EVs soars,” Dr Dung said.

“The current grid infrastructure, especially in urban areas, lacks the capacity and reliability to support the rapid rise of EVs without major upgrades. To meet future demands, major investments in renewable energy such as solar energy will be essential,” he said.

VinFast charging station Inadequate charging station infrastructure and grid capacity remain challenges. (Photo: Mdv Edwards - stock.adobe.com)

Government support

In addition to upgrading the grid infrastructure, strategic government intervention is needed to further enhance the competitiveness of the EV industry. According to Dr Irfan Ul Haq, a lecturer in Logistics and Supply Chain Management at RMIT University Vietnam, a comprehensive government support framework can be key to driving this transformation.

“A key focus should be on developing robust supporting industries. Government incentives could prioritise establishing sophisticated supply chains for electric and hybrid vehicles, while substantial investments in steel production and material industries would strengthen manufacturing independence, reducing reliance on imports,” said Dr Ul Haq.

The RMIT lecturer added that the creation of strategic automotive industrial clusters is another crucial step. Such clusters act as innovation hubs where manufacturers, suppliers, and research institutions can collaborate effectively.

He said that technology advancement also requires significant backing through research grants and tax breaks, particularly for core technologies in transmissions, engines, and electric powertrains. This approach would strategically position Vietnam in the eco-friendly vehicle market and ensure compliance with increasingly stringent international standards.

“The government must establish clear regulatory frameworks, offer targeted financial support, and invest in human resource development,” Dr Ul Haq said.

“Fostering strategic international partnerships, while protecting domestic interests through carefully crafted trade agreements and export promotion programs, will be essential for Vietnam to become a competitive force in the regional EV market.”

*This article is based on an interview with Doanh nghiep & Hoi nhap magazine.

Story: Ngoc Hoang

Masthead image: NVB Stocker - stock.adobe.com | Thumbnail image: pengzphoto - stock.adobe.com

Related news